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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.96vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+6.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+5.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.74vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.40vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.49vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74+1.36vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+1.47vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-2.84vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41+0.10vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.92+1.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-3.05vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.11-2.06vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.65-5.51vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-4.34vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-7.38vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-7.30vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.62Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.47Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.1George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.94Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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8.49College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.62Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.7Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Augie Dale | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 19.4% |
| Will La Dow | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Sean Golden | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 16.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.