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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+7.66vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+7.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+5.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92+7.74vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+4.03vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24+0.31vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+1.68vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.65+0.71vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-0.50vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.27+0.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.14vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-1.02vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.41-3.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.49vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-4.36vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.48vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-8.23vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.74University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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6.31Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.68Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.74Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.98Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.64Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Sean Golden | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% |
| Charles Miller | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Augie Dale | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% |
| Michael Popp | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 20.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.