← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.24+5.55vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.70+6.78vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+6.72vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.73+4.29vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.47+4.51vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.71+2.54vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.27+3.45vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.57vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.92+2.99vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.21+0.99vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.25-0.29vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston3.65-2.83vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-4.08vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.74-5.93vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-6.24vs Predicted
-
16Old Dominion University3.67-7.25vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.42vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University3.41-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.55Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.78Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
9.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.29Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.51Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.54Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
10.45Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
-
9.57U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
-
11.99University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
10.99Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
10.71Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.17College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.07Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.75Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
12.58University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
9.66George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Sean Golden | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% |
| Michael Popp | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Baird | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% |
| Charles Miller | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Augie Dale | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 21.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.