← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.79+5.43vs Predicted
-
2Boston College4.43+2.38vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.67+4.04vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+4.36vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.50+2.51vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.74vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College3.00+2.60vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.71+2.43vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.71+1.85vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.86-0.03vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.70-0.14vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-4.15vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University2.72-2.22vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University3.76-7.24vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University3.27-6.53vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston2.40-4.13vs Predicted
-
17William and Mary1.20-1.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.43Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
-
4.38Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
-
7.04Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
-
7.51Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
-
9.6Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.43U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.85Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.97University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
-
10.86University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.78Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
-
6.76Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
-
8.47Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.87College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
-
15.12William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 17.4% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Megan Magill | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 2.1% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 4.9% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 5.5% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Meghan Pesch | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.7% |
| Stephanie Roble | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 14.4% | 10.5% |
| Derrill Hagood | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 57.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.