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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.18+6.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.26+4.69vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+3.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+4.55vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.57+0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.95vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-0.76vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-1.81vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.71-3.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+0.45vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.00-3.14vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-3.67vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.54-4.07vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.05-2.40vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania-0.50-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Northeastern University1.186.7%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston1.268.5%1st Place
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6.31Old Dominion University1.528.9%1st Place
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8.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.3%1st Place
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5.84Yale University1.5710.7%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy1.185.1%1st Place
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6.24Harvard University2.109.6%1st Place
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6.19Brown University1.859.4%1st Place
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5.26Dartmouth College1.7113.9%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island0.122.9%1st Place
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7.86Stanford University1.006.4%1st Place
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8.33George Washington University0.935.3%1st Place
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8.93Tufts University0.543.8%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont-0.052.2%1st Place
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12.22University of Pennsylvania-0.501.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucia Loosbrock | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Marina Conde | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Audrey Foley | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ava Farley | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| bella casaretto | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% |
| Ava Cornell | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Ella Towner | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.2% | 26.4% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 16.9% | 38.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.