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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.98vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+7.05vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+6.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.92+7.74vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.21vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.13vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+1.52vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.70+0.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-2.80vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+0.87vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-2.43vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-2.89vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.27-2.70vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.73-5.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-4.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-6.25vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-7.30vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.41-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.05College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.84Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.74University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.87Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.57Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.11Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Sean Golden | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 15.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 19.5% |
| Charles Miller | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Will La Dow | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% |
| Augie Dale | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
| Michael Popp | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.