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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+7.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+7.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+6.87vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+5.73vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.55vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.49vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.57vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.76vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.92+2.25vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-4.50vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-2.78vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.73-4.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.74-5.90vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-4.29vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-7.33vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.73vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.25-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.1U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.73George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.55Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.49University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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10.5Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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12.25University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.5Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.1Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.71Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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8.67Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.4Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Sean Golden | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 19.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 17.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.0% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Will La Dow | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% |
| Charles Miller | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.