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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+7.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+7.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+3.58vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+4.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+3.61vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+2.59vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.25+3.65vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47+1.50vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.27+1.49vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21+1.06vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.92+1.06vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-2.11vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.86vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-6.57vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-6.79vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-6.97vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.58Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.35Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.65Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.5Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.49Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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12.06University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.03George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% |
| Sean Golden | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 17.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Charles Miller | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.