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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+8.04vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+5.59vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+8.19vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.27+5.30vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+3.83vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.73vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+2.46vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.70-0.49vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-1.30vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-0.21vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.84vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.92-1.29vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.24-7.90vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-4.57vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.67-7.31vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-8.27vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University3.47-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04U. S. Naval Academy3.630.0%1st Place
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9.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.3Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.83George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.73College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.79Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.71University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.43Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.69Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.31Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 18.9% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% |
| Will La Dow | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% |
| Augie Dale | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Sean Golden | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.