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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.70vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+6.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+6.27vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.71+3.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.74+2.38vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+1.64vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41+1.73vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-0.68vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.65-0.96vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.70-2.35vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-0.94vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-2.63vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.92vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-4.55vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University3.47-6.44vs Predicted
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17Yale University4.24-10.56vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.92-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.27Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.38Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.73George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.65Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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12.08University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.45Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.56Georgetown University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.44Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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11.76University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Will La Dow | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% |
| Augie Dale | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 17.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| Sean Golden | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.