← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.65+7.93vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.70+6.75vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.73+5.56vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University3.51+5.25vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.67+3.57vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College3.21+4.69vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.24-0.73vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.28vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-0.32vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.78vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.27-0.46vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.74-3.26vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.11-2.13vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.52vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.92-3.11vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-6.49vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.71-8.36vs Predicted
-
18George Washington University3.41-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.93College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.56Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
9.25Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.57Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.69Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
6.27Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
12.28University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
10.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
10.54Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
-
8.74Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.87Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.89University of South Florida2.920.0%1st Place
-
9.51St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.64Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.58George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Augie Dale | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 18.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Will La Dow | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Baird | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 15.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.