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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.70+7.38vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.65+6.60vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.64vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+3.95vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.54+7.87vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+2.24vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74+0.94vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+2.07vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.02vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.73-1.74vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-0.52vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.43vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.51-4.17vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.98-3.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.63vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.27-5.88vs Predicted
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17George Washington University3.41-7.46vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.16-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.6College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.95Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.87University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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9.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.83Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.93Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.12Brown University3.270.0%1st Place
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9.54George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.32Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Astwood | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 13.0% | 23.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Will La Dow | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 18.4% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.