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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+10.40vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+6.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.70+5.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+4.30vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+5.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.16vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.72-0.01vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-0.75vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-0.73vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.80vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.19vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.54-0.12vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.27-4.28vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.41-5.65vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.52vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-6.32vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.74-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.2Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.3College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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12.01University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.99Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.27Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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12.88University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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9.72Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.48U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.68Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.79Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 4.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Augie Dale | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 24.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Will La Dow | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.