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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+7.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.46vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+5.39vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+4.77vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+5.06vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+5.26vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.73-0.24vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+2.22vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.54+3.12vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.72-2.87vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-2.37vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-3.15vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-6.27vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.58vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.11-6.25vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-8.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.11Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.77Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.06Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.25College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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7.76Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.22Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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13.12University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.75Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
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9.22Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Augie Dale | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 24.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.