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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.10+5.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.23vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+3.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.18+3.97vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.57+0.68vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.93+2.43vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.71-1.75vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University1.52-1.88vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.12+0.35vs Predicted
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11Stanford University1.00-3.31vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.18-4.52vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont-0.05-1.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.54-4.85vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania-0.50-2.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Harvard University2.108.5%1st Place
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6.23Brown University1.859.6%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston1.267.8%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Naval Academy1.185.9%1st Place
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5.68Yale University1.5711.1%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University0.935.5%1st Place
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5.25Dartmouth College1.7112.8%1st Place
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6.12Old Dominion University1.5210.2%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.825.3%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island0.123.2%1st Place
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7.69Stanford University1.005.9%1st Place
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7.48Northeastern University1.187.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Vermont-0.051.7%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University0.544.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania-0.501.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Laura Hamilton | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Alfortish | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Ava Farley | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Audrey Foley | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| bella casaretto | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marina Conde | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Ella Towner | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 19.6% | 24.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 5.6% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 16.0% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.