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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.79+5.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.27+6.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+4.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.71+6.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.76+1.55vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.50+1.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.43-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.86+1.22vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-3.53vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.40+0.88vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-4.16vs Predicted
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13William and Mary1.20+2.03vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.00-4.30vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.71-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.70-5.26vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.72-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.45Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.47Stanford University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.03Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.69U. S. Naval Academy2.710.0%1st Place
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6.55Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.78Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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4.49Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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11.88College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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7.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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15.03William and Mary1.200.0%1st Place
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9.7Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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10.6Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.74University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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10.69Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.9% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Mace | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Killian Corbishley | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
| Stephanie Roble | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 19.8% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Megan Magill | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 11.6% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Derrill Hagood | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 14.0% | 57.2% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Hillary Noble | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.