← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+7.49vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.74+6.13vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.51+6.11vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.67+4.08vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.72+2.93vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.70+2.05vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.21+3.14vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.98+3.04vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University3.41+0.25vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.36vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.11-0.19vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.31vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.90vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.73-6.36vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.70vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida2.54-2.96vs Predicted
-
17College of Charleston3.65-8.56vs Predicted
-
18Brown University3.48-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.13Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.11Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.08Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
7.93Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
8.05Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
10.14Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
11.04Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
-
9.25George Washington University3.410.0%1st Place
-
10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
10.81Fordham University3.110.0%1st Place
-
12.31University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
11.1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
-
7.64Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
13.04University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.44College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.8Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Will La Dow | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Augie Dale | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Connor Godfrey | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 17.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 23.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.