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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Minnesota0.84+2.82vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.06+1.27vs Predicted
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4Hope College1.10+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.24-2.66vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.84-1.20vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.27+0.28vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.01-1.54vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.15-0.17vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.37-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.31-3.80vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.08-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.82University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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4.27Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.35Hope College1.100.1%1st Place
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2.34University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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4.8Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
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6.46Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.83University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.32Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Villadsen | 8.0% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 12.3% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| DJ Litts | 12.0% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 38.5% | 25.2% | 17.3% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 10.6% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 9.0% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 24.4% | 29.7% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 45.6% |
| Soren Hughes | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 7.3% |
| Michael Valverde | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.