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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.26vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.84+1.71vs Predicted
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4Hope College1.10+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.27+2.38vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.84-1.22vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois-1.15+0.76vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.24vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University1.06-5.63vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.31-3.76vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.08-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.26University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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4.33Hope College1.100.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.78Marquette University0.840.1%1st Place
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6.62Michigan Technological University0.010.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.24Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.37Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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7.24University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.32University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 39.5% | 25.6% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| DJ Litts | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 14.1% | 8.7% |
| Mason Chrabaszcz | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Henley | 3.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 22.7% | 31.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 19.8% | 42.4% |
| Elliot Lee | 11.7% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Soren Hughes | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 8.6% |
| Michael Valverde | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.