Race 5A

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Kutschenreuter 37.8% 26.3% 17.9% 10.4% 4.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Villadsen 9.6% 12.1% 13.2% 13.0% 13.1% 12.6% 11.5% 8.5% 4.8% 1.2% 0.4%
DJ Litts 12.0% 11.9% 15.8% 15.0% 13.6% 12.6% 9.4% 5.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Cortney Kingsley 0.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.0% 5.3% 5.2% 10.6% 20.5% 47.2%
Elliot Lee 12.8% 14.6% 12.9% 15.0% 11.6% 13.1% 9.0% 6.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Mason Chrabaszcz 8.9% 12.5% 12.5% 14.4% 12.9% 12.5% 10.2% 6.6% 6.3% 2.9% 0.3%
Maximilian Franze-Soeln 4.0% 4.6% 4.6% 5.7% 8.6% 9.0% 11.9% 15.1% 16.3% 13.2% 7.0%
Jacob Henley 4.7% 4.8% 6.7% 8.2% 10.9% 11.1% 11.4% 14.5% 14.6% 9.2% 3.9%
Paul DeTrempe 1.5% 1.6% 2.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4.0% 6.5% 9.0% 10.5% 26.8% 31.6%
Soren Hughes 3.1% 4.3% 4.6% 5.6% 7.7% 9.3% 11.0% 14.4% 18.3% 14.4% 7.3%
Michael Valverde 5.0% 5.8% 7.5% 8.4% 10.9% 11.0% 13.0% 14.4% 12.3% 9.5% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.