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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.22vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.06+1.16vs Predicted
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4Hope College1.10+0.25vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.37+4.37vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.27-0.10vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.27-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.15-0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.31-2.74vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.08-4.79vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.84-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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4.16Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.25Hope College1.100.1%1st Place
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9.37Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.9Marquette University0.270.1%1st Place
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6.5Michigan Technological University0.010.0%1st Place
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6.91University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
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8.74University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.26University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.21University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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4.47University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 40.4% | 24.5% | 19.0% | 9.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| DJ Litts | 11.2% | 13.4% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 22.2% | 44.7% |
| Lindsey Clark | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Henley | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 21.2% | 29.6% |
| Soren Hughes | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 15.8% | 9.0% |
| Michael Valverde | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Eric Villadsen | 11.0% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.