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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Grand Valley State University1.06+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin2.24+0.21vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.27+2.07vs Predicted
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5University of Iowa-0.27+2.20vs Predicted
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6Hope College1.10-1.93vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.37+2.25vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University0.01-1.68vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois-1.15-0.29vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-0.31-2.76vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.08-4.77vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.84-7.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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2.21University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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6.07Marquette University0.270.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.07Hope College1.100.1%1st Place
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9.25Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.32Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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4.48University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliot Lee | 10.4% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 40.6% | 25.8% | 17.0% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Clark | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 2.1% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 7.8% |
| DJ Litts | 13.2% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 43.2% |
| Jacob Henley | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 22.8% | 29.2% |
| Soren Hughes | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 9.2% |
| Michael Valverde | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Eric Villadsen | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.