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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+1.23vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.06+1.17vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.37+5.29vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota0.84-0.23vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.27-0.06vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University0.01-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.27-1.07vs Predicted
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9Hope College1.10-4.97vs Predicted
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10University of Illinois-1.15-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-0.31-3.91vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.08-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23University of Wisconsin2.240.4%1st Place
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4.17Grand Valley State University1.060.1%1st Place
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9.29Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Minnesota0.840.1%1st Place
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5.94Marquette University0.270.1%1st Place
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6.53Michigan Technological University0.010.0%1st Place
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6.93University of Iowa-0.270.0%1st Place
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4.03Hope College1.100.1%1st Place
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8.86University of Illinois-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Wisconsin-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.18University of Minnesota0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 39.2% | 27.0% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Lee | 12.6% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 21.6% | 43.8% |
| Eric Villadsen | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Clark | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Henley | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 3.8% |
| Maximilian Franze-Soeln | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 7.0% |
| DJ Litts | 13.5% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Paul DeTrempe | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 24.8% | 31.8% |
| Soren Hughes | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 7.2% |
| Michael Valverde | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.