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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+5.58vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.78vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.68+6.81vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.48+2.96vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.28+2.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.53+0.77vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+1.93vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-2.14vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.93-1.20vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.91-1.86vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.16vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.49vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.42-0.08vs Predicted
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15William and Mary0.31+0.81vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05-3.91vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.53-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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7.78College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.4Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.77Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.93Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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5.86Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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8.8University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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9.14Eckerd College2.910.1%1st Place
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6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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13.92University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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15.81William and Mary0.310.0%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nancy Hagood | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Kaye Siemers | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 33.4% | 19.2% |
| Meghan Tamminen | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 14.6% | 66.4% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.1% | 6.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.