Race 1B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Miller 18.1% 19.7% 18.1% 16.1% 11.4% 9.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 8.7% 9.9% 11.1% 11.7% 14.4% 13.2% 13.5% 9.7% 6.0% 1.5% 0.3%
Isabella Hamilton 20.6% 21.2% 16.0% 14.6% 12.2% 8.4% 4.2% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 20.6% 18.0% 15.8% 18.7% 11.2% 7.6% 4.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 1.4% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.6% 5.0% 6.4% 12.7% 18.7% 46.4%
Lucas Kieffer 2.6% 2.1% 4.2% 3.7% 6.1% 7.2% 10.8% 16.8% 18.1% 17.7% 10.7%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 9.4% 9.7% 11.3% 10.3% 12.6% 14.0% 14.1% 9.6% 5.0% 3.4% 0.6%
Riley Sorber 3.3% 2.4% 4.2% 4.4% 8.4% 9.1% 14.0% 16.0% 16.4% 14.1% 7.7%
Kate Cavataio 2.0% 1.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 5.6% 8.9% 12.6% 18.0% 23.4% 17.9%
Jacob Stout 2.3% 2.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.6% 5.6% 11.2% 14.1% 17.7% 20.0% 16.2%
Cailin Oakes 11.0% 12.4% 12.3% 12.3% 13.2% 15.9% 9.2% 8.2% 4.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.