Race 2B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Isabella Hamilton 20.2% 21.2% 17.2% 18.0% 9.9% 7.7% 3.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 19.7% 21.6% 16.5% 14.9% 13.0% 7.7% 4.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 4.3% 6.7% 11.7% 20.2% 47.4%
Libby Reeg 8.6% 7.7% 10.4% 10.7% 16.9% 14.8% 12.3% 10.5% 5.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Zachary Miller 22.3% 17.3% 17.4% 14.3% 10.5% 9.2% 5.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Lucas Kieffer 2.2% 2.3% 4.3% 3.7% 5.7% 8.5% 11.5% 16.5% 17.7% 17.0% 10.6%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 8.7% 9.6% 11.0% 11.5% 14.0% 13.5% 13.3% 9.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.9%
Kate Cavataio 2.4% 1.9% 2.3% 3.2% 4.2% 6.8% 10.7% 14.1% 17.7% 21.6% 15.1%
Riley Sorber 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 6.3% 8.4% 12.6% 15.6% 19.4% 14.9% 8.4%
Jacob Stout 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 6.9% 11.3% 13.3% 16.3% 20.0% 17.2%
Cailin Oakes 10.1% 11.8% 13.3% 14.5% 12.5% 13.6% 10.4% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.