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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Isabella Hamilton 20.5% 18.6% 18.7% 16.1% 10.9% 7.3% 4.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Zachary Miller 20.1% 20.8% 15.0% 14.9% 11.8% 7.3% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 18.6% 17.4% 17.5% 15.5% 13.6% 7.5% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 8.1% 8.9% 10.0% 10.5% 14.3% 14.2% 13.5% 10.1% 6.8% 2.9% 0.7%
Addison Amstutz 4.4% 3.7% 5.2% 6.9% 7.2% 9.8% 11.8% 16.3% 16.3% 12.7% 5.7%
Nathan Miller 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 4.0% 4.0% 5.1% 11.4% 18.0% 51.3%
Lucas Kieffer 3.3% 3.5% 3.3% 3.4% 6.9% 7.2% 11.4% 14.3% 16.0% 19.5% 11.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 8.6% 8.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6% 13.5% 12.9% 11.7% 7.4% 3.2% 0.6%
Jacob Stout 2.0% 2.7% 2.0% 3.2% 3.7% 4.9% 7.3% 12.9% 15.1% 25.7% 20.5%
Cailin Oakes 11.2% 10.6% 12.6% 12.1% 11.2% 15.6% 11.6% 7.8% 5.2% 1.6% 0.5%
Riley Sorber 2.5% 3.8% 3.6% 5.3% 7.0% 8.7% 11.0% 13.9% 19.1% 15.7% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.