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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+2.36vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.09+0.45vs Predicted
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4Marquette University1.11-0.44vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.28+0.28vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.58+0.99vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.03+2.61vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.99-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of Illinois0.16-3.70vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.27-1.53vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.39-6.20vs Predicted
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12Northern Michigan University-0.88-4.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.36University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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3.45University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.56Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
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5.28Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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6.99Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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9.61Michigan Technological University-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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5.3University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Wisconsin-1.270.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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7.5Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.5% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.1% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 18.6% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 5.7% |
| Nathan Miller | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 51.3% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 11.2% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Stout | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 25.7% | 20.5% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Riley Sorber | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.