Race 4B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Clulo 19.0% 18.4% 19.0% 14.1% 13.9% 7.7% 4.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Zachary Miller 21.0% 19.0% 16.1% 14.7% 12.3% 8.0% 4.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 8.5% 8.4% 10.3% 11.7% 11.7% 14.3% 13.9% 10.5% 6.5% 3.9% 0.3%
Isabella Hamilton 21.0% 18.0% 18.3% 15.6% 11.6% 7.3% 5.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 8.1% 8.4% 10.2% 12.1% 10.6% 12.8% 14.5% 12.0% 6.8% 3.9% 0.6%
Nathan Miller 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 1.9% 3.3% 4.1% 6.8% 11.1% 16.6% 52.1%
Lucas Kieffer 2.7% 4.4% 2.7% 4.0% 5.6% 8.5% 9.2% 14.5% 17.2% 19.6% 11.6%
Riley Sorber 3.4% 2.4% 4.3% 4.8% 6.3% 9.7% 11.6% 13.6% 16.6% 17.7% 9.6%
Addison Amstutz 4.1% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 7.4% 10.3% 14.2% 13.7% 17.6% 12.7% 6.2%
Jacob Stout 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.7% 4.3% 6.1% 7.7% 12.5% 17.4% 22.7% 19.1%
Cailin Oakes 9.5% 13.5% 11.2% 13.0% 14.4% 12.0% 10.9% 8.6% 4.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.