Race 5B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Clulo 19.5% 18.6% 16.7% 15.9% 11.7% 9.6% 4.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 23.5% 19.6% 15.9% 14.6% 10.0% 7.9% 5.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Miller 16.5% 19.2% 17.2% 16.0% 11.0% 9.4% 6.0% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 7.4% 8.5% 7.3% 9.1% 13.5% 14.4% 13.2% 13.2% 8.0% 4.3% 1.1%
Libby Reeg 9.1% 9.4% 11.8% 11.8% 12.6% 11.9% 12.8% 10.3% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0%
Riley Sorber 2.7% 2.6% 5.0% 3.8% 5.1% 7.2% 11.2% 15.4% 16.2% 18.6% 12.2%
Nathan Miller 0.9% 1.2% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6% 2.0% 3.9% 6.7% 12.2% 15.3% 51.4%
Addison Amstutz 4.8% 3.7% 5.0% 6.2% 8.6% 12.1% 11.7% 13.2% 14.6% 14.8% 5.3%
Lucas Kieffer 2.7% 3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 6.2% 10.6% 12.8% 18.1% 19.7% 15.2%
Zachary McClenathan 2.6% 2.6% 3.1% 4.6% 5.5% 7.8% 9.5% 12.2% 16.7% 22.1% 13.3%
Cailin Oakes 10.3% 11.6% 12.0% 11.7% 16.2% 11.5% 11.2% 8.3% 5.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.