Race 6B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Miller 17.8% 19.2% 17.7% 14.5% 13.0% 9.1% 4.8% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 1.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.7% 5.7% 10.1% 18.4% 52.7%
Ryan Clulo 18.5% 17.4% 17.8% 14.8% 12.1% 9.2% 6.8% 2.0% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Addison Amstutz 3.1% 3.3% 5.1% 5.8% 6.5% 8.9% 12.8% 17.5% 18.0% 12.7% 6.3%
Isabella Hamilton 23.0% 19.1% 16.6% 13.9% 10.6% 8.7% 4.7% 2.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Lucas Kieffer 1.7% 3.2% 2.6% 5.0% 4.4% 7.0% 10.7% 14.8% 17.5% 19.8% 13.3%
Riley Sorber 3.5% 3.8% 4.1% 4.2% 6.7% 8.7% 10.4% 14.4% 18.1% 16.0% 10.1%
Libby Reeg 9.5% 10.1% 10.4% 12.6% 13.4% 11.9% 11.8% 11.0% 5.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Zachary McClenathan 2.2% 3.3% 2.8% 4.4% 4.7% 6.7% 9.5% 12.0% 16.3% 22.0% 16.1%
Cailin Oakes 10.7% 11.4% 11.8% 11.6% 12.7% 13.5% 12.3% 8.1% 5.1% 2.6% 0.2%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 8.8% 8.6% 10.0% 11.7% 13.6% 13.6% 12.5% 9.7% 5.9% 4.8% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.