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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Isabella Hamilton 20.4% 20.8% 16.7% 14.9% 11.9% 8.3% 4.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 8.3% 10.0% 10.4% 11.4% 12.4% 15.0% 13.0% 11.2% 5.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Zachary Miller 18.3% 18.6% 16.8% 13.3% 13.1% 10.0% 5.7% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 19.6% 17.8% 16.9% 15.6% 12.2% 8.6% 5.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 1.3% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 2.6% 2.0% 5.0% 6.1% 10.1% 17.8% 51.6%
Riley Sorber 2.8% 2.2% 4.5% 4.4% 5.7% 7.3% 10.6% 15.2% 18.8% 17.0% 11.5%
Addison Amstutz 4.6% 4.1% 5.3% 7.1% 8.4% 8.4% 14.0% 16.1% 14.9% 11.8% 5.3%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 8.6% 9.0% 9.8% 12.3% 11.4% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9% 7.6% 4.1% 0.8%
Lucas Kieffer 2.6% 3.1% 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 7.9% 9.6% 12.3% 17.6% 21.0% 14.0%
Nathan Cunningham 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 3.4% 3.9% 5.7% 9.4% 12.1% 17.6% 23.8% 16.1%
Cailin Oakes 11.1% 11.4% 11.6% 11.9% 14.1% 13.5% 11.3% 8.3% 5.1% 1.3% 0.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.