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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+2.34vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+3.16vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.09+0.59vs Predicted
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4Marquette University1.11-0.48vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-2.03+4.58vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-0.88+1.72vs Predicted
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7Grand Valley State University-0.58-0.13vs Predicted
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8University of Illinois0.16-2.67vs Predicted
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9University of Iowa-0.99-1.07vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.20-1.80vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.39-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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5.16Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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3.52Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
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9.58Michigan Technological University-2.030.0%1st Place
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7.72Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
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6.87Grand Valley State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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7.93University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Wisconsin-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.77University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 20.4% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Zachary Miller | 18.3% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 19.6% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Miller | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 51.6% |
| Riley Sorber | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 17.0% | 11.5% |
| Addison Amstutz | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 5.3% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 14.0% |
| Nathan Cunningham | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 16.1% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.