Race 8B

fall-fury

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Libby Reeg 7.3% 9.3% 9.8% 12.8% 13.4% 14.2% 13.5% 11.4% 5.3% 2.6% 0.4%
Isabella Hamilton 21.9% 20.8% 18.0% 12.2% 11.1% 8.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Clulo 17.8% 18.4% 18.6% 15.1% 11.0% 10.0% 5.0% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 1.7% 2.9% 1.5% 3.6% 5.5% 9.5% 18.7% 54.0%
Zachary Miller 21.6% 18.5% 15.9% 13.4% 11.1% 10.1% 5.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Lucas Kieffer 2.2% 2.7% 3.6% 5.3% 4.2% 6.0% 10.3% 14.3% 18.6% 21.1% 11.7%
Riley Sorber 4.0% 3.5% 3.2% 4.9% 7.0% 7.7% 11.1% 14.2% 17.6% 17.3% 9.5%
Addison Amstutz 4.9% 4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 8.9% 11.2% 14.4% 13.1% 15.9% 12.1% 5.3%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 7.7% 7.6% 9.6% 11.0% 12.9% 12.6% 13.2% 12.0% 7.8% 4.1% 1.5%
Nathan Cunningham 1.9% 2.8% 2.9% 3.8% 4.6% 6.1% 8.6% 12.8% 17.5% 21.8% 17.2%
Cailin Oakes 10.0% 11.6% 12.8% 14.1% 12.9% 12.5% 10.1% 8.4% 5.4% 1.9% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.