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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+4.79vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.18+5.37vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+3.25vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.10+2.33vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.71+0.30vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.54+2.95vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.26-0.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.85-1.63vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.00-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.05+1.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-2.40vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy1.18-4.05vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania-0.50-0.63vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.93-5.59vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-4.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Yale University1.5710.5%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University1.187.2%1st Place
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6.25Old Dominion University1.529.8%1st Place
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6.33Harvard University2.109.0%1st Place
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5.3Dartmouth College1.7114.3%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University0.544.3%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston1.268.9%1st Place
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6.37Brown University1.858.6%1st Place
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7.75Stanford University1.005.7%1st Place
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11.54University of Vermont-0.052.0%1st Place
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8.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.8%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy1.185.6%1st Place
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12.37University of Pennsylvania-0.501.5%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University0.935.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island0.122.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Marina Conde | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| bella casaretto | 14.3% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Ava Cornell | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Ella Towner | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.0% | 25.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Ava Farley | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 39.6% |
| Avery Canavan | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.