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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.53+5.44vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.20+5.81vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.92+5.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.74+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.93+3.75vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.05+5.08vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.68+1.60vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.87+0.35vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.48-3.28vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.28-3.19vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.50-5.20vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-2.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-7.05vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.42-1.20vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.99vs Predicted
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17William and Mary0.31-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston3.200.1%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Vermont2.930.0%1st Place
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6.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.1%1st Place
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12.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.050.0%1st Place
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9.6U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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9.35Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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6.72Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.81Georgetown University3.280.1%1st Place
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6.8Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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13.8University of South Florida1.420.0%1st Place
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9.01Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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15.93William and Mary0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Adler | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Lucas | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Marlena Fauer | 10.9% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Patten | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jaimie Chicoine | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 6.3% |
| Sara Burke | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nancy Hagood | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Mayumi Roller | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowles-Jenner | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 32.2% | 18.5% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Meghan Tamminen | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 15.2% | 66.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.