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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-2.03+8.64vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.16+3.25vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11+0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.18-1.69vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-1.01vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.09-3.56vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.99-0.47vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-0.88-1.65vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-1.32-1.66vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-1.20-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota0.39-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Michigan Technological University-2.030.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
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3.5Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
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3.31University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
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4.99Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
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7.53University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
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7.35Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
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8.34Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Wisconsin-1.200.0%1st Place
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4.64University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Miller | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 20.0% | 48.6% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Clulo | 18.7% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 21.1% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Zachary Miller | 20.7% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 17.4% | 9.1% |
| Riley Sorber | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 8.3% |
| Kate Cavataio | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 23.3% | 18.7% |
| Nathan Cunningham | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 18.3% | 19.5% | 14.4% |
| Cailin Oakes | 11.2% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.