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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Nathan Miller 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 3.2% 4.1% 7.0% 12.1% 20.0% 48.6%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 7.8% 8.5% 10.7% 10.8% 13.9% 15.1% 12.9% 10.9% 6.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Ryan Clulo 18.7% 20.1% 15.0% 15.4% 13.4% 8.8% 5.6% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Isabella Hamilton 21.1% 18.7% 19.5% 14.6% 11.7% 7.8% 3.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 9.0% 11.5% 9.8% 12.7% 12.1% 15.1% 13.2% 9.1% 5.1% 2.0% 0.4%
Zachary Miller 20.7% 18.5% 17.4% 15.8% 10.1% 7.8% 5.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Lucas Kieffer 3.6% 3.8% 2.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.3% 11.9% 15.9% 17.2% 17.4% 9.1%
Riley Sorber 3.0% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 8.3% 9.2% 14.2% 14.6% 16.9% 13.9% 8.3%
Kate Cavataio 2.0% 2.9% 2.6% 2.0% 4.4% 5.8% 8.1% 13.7% 16.5% 23.3% 18.7%
Nathan Cunningham 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 6.1% 10.0% 15.0% 18.3% 19.5% 14.4%
Cailin Oakes 11.2% 9.8% 14.2% 13.7% 13.9% 13.8% 10.7% 7.4% 4.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.