← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Wisconsin1.09+2.44vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University-2.03+6.52vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University1.11-0.52vs Predicted
-
5University of Minnesota1.18-1.71vs Predicted
-
6Hope College0.28-0.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Illinois0.16-1.74vs Predicted
-
8Northern Michigan University-0.88-0.71vs Predicted
-
9University of Iowa-0.99-1.40vs Predicted
-
10Grand Valley State University-1.32-1.63vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin-1.20-2.97vs Predicted
-
12University of Minnesota0.39-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44University of Wisconsin1.090.2%1st Place
-
9.52Michigan Technological University-2.030.0%1st Place
-
3.48Marquette University1.110.2%1st Place
-
3.29University of Minnesota1.180.2%1st Place
-
5.04Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
-
5.26University of Illinois0.160.1%1st Place
-
7.29Northern Michigan University-0.880.0%1st Place
-
7.6University of Iowa-0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.37Grand Valley State University-1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.03University of Wisconsin-1.200.0%1st Place
-
4.69University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Miller | 19.0% | 19.3% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Miller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 48.0% |
| Ryan Clulo | 18.7% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 22.3% | 17.5% | 18.9% | 16.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Riley Sorber | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 7.4% |
| Lucas Kieffer | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 9.7% |
| Kate Cavataio | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 22.8% | 19.1% |
| Nathan Cunningham | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 14.7% |
| Cailin Oakes | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.