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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Zachary Miller 19.0% 19.3% 17.7% 15.1% 12.6% 8.4% 5.0% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 0.9% 0.9% 1.0% 1.8% 2.4% 2.0% 5.4% 7.7% 11.0% 18.9% 48.0%
Ryan Clulo 18.7% 19.7% 16.5% 15.1% 12.5% 9.4% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Isabella Hamilton 22.3% 17.5% 18.9% 16.6% 9.8% 7.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Libby Reeg 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 12.9% 12.1% 13.6% 15.2% 8.7% 5.2% 2.5% 0.3%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 7.9% 10.1% 9.3% 10.6% 15.0% 14.0% 11.9% 10.0% 7.3% 3.3% 0.6%
Riley Sorber 3.7% 3.9% 3.6% 5.2% 7.0% 9.8% 9.9% 17.9% 18.1% 13.5% 7.4%
Lucas Kieffer 2.8% 2.6% 3.1% 4.9% 5.4% 10.5% 12.6% 14.7% 16.7% 17.0% 9.7%
Kate Cavataio 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 2.4% 3.5% 5.2% 8.8% 13.3% 17.3% 22.8% 19.1%
Nathan Cunningham 2.1% 2.7% 3.3% 4.0% 4.6% 5.5% 10.9% 14.1% 18.3% 19.8% 14.7%
Cailin Oakes 10.5% 11.6% 13.3% 11.4% 15.1% 13.7% 10.4% 8.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.