Race 11B

fall-fury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Isabella Hamilton 20.4% 21.8% 17.7% 14.5% 11.3% 8.3% 3.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Miller 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.3% 3.2% 4.4% 8.3% 11.7% 18.5% 47.2%
Ryan Clulo 18.8% 18.7% 18.7% 14.0% 12.9% 8.7% 4.7% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2%
Zachary Miller 20.3% 16.5% 17.3% 17.2% 12.2% 7.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Libby Reeg 10.3% 8.9% 11.0% 12.1% 12.7% 13.6% 13.9% 8.9% 5.4% 3.0% 0.2%
Riley Sorber 2.4% 3.1% 4.4% 4.3% 5.5% 9.7% 11.8% 18.4% 16.7% 14.3% 9.4%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 9.5% 9.9% 9.8% 11.7% 13.6% 13.3% 12.9% 10.0% 5.8% 3.0% 0.5%
Lucas Kieffer 2.9% 2.6% 3.1% 4.5% 7.2% 8.6% 13.1% 14.7% 17.6% 16.9% 8.8%
Kate Cavataio 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 5.8% 8.5% 12.5% 18.3% 22.8% 18.5%
Nathan Cunningham 2.3% 2.1% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 6.0% 11.4% 13.7% 17.6% 20.0% 15.0%
Cailin Oakes 10.2% 13.0% 11.3% 13.0% 14.1% 14.9% 10.2% 7.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.