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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.24vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.52+5.98vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+6.27vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+3.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.46vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+5.14vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.32vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.05vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.82+2.12vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+1.08vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-3.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.29vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-4.18vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.48-5.57vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.60vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.60-4.11vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.84-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.27Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.33Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.82Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.4SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.89Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.88College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 15.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.7% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.