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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+5.68vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+5.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+5.23vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+4.84vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+4.01vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+2.80vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+1.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.25vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.67vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.72vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-5.44vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.82-1.08vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-1.86vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.41vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-8.85vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.06Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.84Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.67SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.72Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.56Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.14Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.29Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Will Holz | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 16.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.