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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+5.62vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+6.55vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.41vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.21vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.82+5.73vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.52+2.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.48+1.32vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-0.93vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-0.86vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-2.15vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.78vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.82-1.91vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.24-4.59vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.23vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.48vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-5.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.41Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.14Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.56Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.09Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.52SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.23Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.7% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.7% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 18.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 15.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.