← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.84+5.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.59vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+8.15vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.82+7.01vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University3.52+2.87vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.24-0.39vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.24+2.26vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.96vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.38-0.08vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.77-2.99vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.48-2.54vs Predicted
-
12Bowdoin College3.56-4.01vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.56vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.60-2.08vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.82-4.12vs Predicted
-
16Brown University3.38-7.25vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.62College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
11.15Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.01Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.87Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
5.61Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
9.26Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.92Dartmouth College3.380.0%1st Place
-
7.01Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.46Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.99Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.44St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
-
11.92Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.88Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.75Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
11.48SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 13.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 10.9% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.