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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.92vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+5.86vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.12vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+4.71vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+2.92vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.84+1.03vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+4.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.49vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.41vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-1.86vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-1.57vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.38-3.27vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.51vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.82-2.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.25vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-4.98vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.86Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.71Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.92Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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11.19Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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5.59Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.73Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.13Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.75Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.02Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.48SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
| Will Holz | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 18.9% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.