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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.85+4.35vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.26+3.73vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont-0.05+7.49vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52+1.11vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71-0.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.10-0.64vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.18-0.69vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.18-1.21vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.00-2.24vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82-2.75vs Predicted
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12George Washington University0.93-3.49vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.54-4.13vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania-0.50-1.83vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Yale University1.5711.3%1st Place
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6.35Brown University1.858.7%1st Place
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6.73College of Charleston1.267.9%1st Place
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11.49University of Vermont-0.051.6%1st Place
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6.11Old Dominion University1.5210.1%1st Place
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5.12Dartmouth College1.7114.0%1st Place
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6.36Harvard University2.109.5%1st Place
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7.31Northeastern University1.188.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy1.185.5%1st Place
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7.76Stanford University1.007.5%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.824.7%1st Place
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8.51George Washington University0.934.5%1st Place
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8.87Tufts University0.544.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Pennsylvania-0.501.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Rhode Island-0.201.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Laura Hamilton | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Emily Alfortish | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Ella Towner | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 23.2% |
| Marina Conde | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| bella casaretto | 14.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Ava Farley | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Ava Cornell | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 2.9% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 18.3% | 34.7% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.