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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+7.99vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.99vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+4.75vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+2.48vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+3.93vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.77-0.92vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.65vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.40vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.84vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-0.78vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-4.95vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.84-7.04vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.52-6.88vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.64vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.82-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.75Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.48Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.93Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.65SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.6Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.22Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.36St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.97Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 2.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 15.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 20.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Will Holz | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.