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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.03vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+6.21vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.95vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.84+2.95vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+5.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+5.12vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77+0.10vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+2.92vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+2.99vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.24-4.65vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-2.14vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-3.90vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.42vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.38-5.13vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-7.88vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.27vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.82-6.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.21Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.95Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.95College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.1Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.92Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.99Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.86Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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11.58SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.87Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.0Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 11.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Will Holz | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 16.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.