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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.24vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+4.72vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+6.25vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.72vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+6.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+2.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.82+3.95vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+0.48vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.69vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-1.41vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-3.68vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-1.73vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.52-4.74vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-5.93vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.06vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.43vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.27St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.07Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.94Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.57SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Jack Bitney | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Will Holz | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 16.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.