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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+4.60vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.95vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+2.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.22vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.83vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.84-3.29vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.52-3.13vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.82-1.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-2.28vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-3.59vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.90vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.66Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.6Brown University3.380.0%1st Place
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8.95Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.45Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.22U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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6.71College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.46Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.41Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.1SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.92Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Will Holz | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 13.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 15.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 18.2% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.