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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+5.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.24vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+5.37vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+4.00vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.93vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+3.00vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.38+0.26vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.82+1.43vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-2.24vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.02vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.48-3.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-6.18vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.19vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.10vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.82-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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8.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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5.37Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.26Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.43Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.04Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.9Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.6Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Will Holz | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 17.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.