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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.84vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+4.58vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+4.71vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+4.53vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.30vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.82+4.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+1.44vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.86vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.16vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.82+0.63vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-2.58vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.02vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-3.15vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.52-6.34vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-4.10vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.58College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.71Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.53Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.3Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.5Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.86SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.84Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.63Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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7.66Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.9Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.96Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.1% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 17.9% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.9% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Will Holz | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 14.8% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.