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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.82vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+4.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+4.55vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+4.92vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.82+4.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.38+1.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38+0.19vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52-1.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.03vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-3.26vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-3.10vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.09vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.33vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.37vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.77-9.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.63College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.54Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.81Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.74Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.9Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.91SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.63Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 5.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.1% |
| Will Holz | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 17.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 16.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.