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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+5.91vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.72+8.09vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.01+2.32vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.14+8.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.42+2.30vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.01+3.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.72-0.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+3.40vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18-0.38vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-1.94vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.42+0.47vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.01-2.93vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-2.79vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-5.72vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-6.86vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81-2.55vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.09Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.22Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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6.31Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.47Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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9.07College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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10.21St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.28Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.14Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 18.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Conner Harding | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 13.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Vincent Storino | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 30.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.7% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.