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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.14vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+4.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.49vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.23+2.98vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+2.58vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.01+2.08vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+0.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.81+4.61vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.13vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-3.91vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.76-2.84vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.24-5.71vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-3.39vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-5.75vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.42-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.99Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.31Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.49Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.98Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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8.87Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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13.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.810.0%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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8.09Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.760.0%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.61Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.25Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.37Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 15.2% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Conner Harding | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Vincent Storino | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 34.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 16.4% |
| Alexander Stewart | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Kyle Burgess | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.