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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.64+6.74vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+4.22vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida4.10+3.27vs Predicted
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4Washington College4.25+1.89vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+0.49vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.33-0.38vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92-0.01vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College4.15-2.02vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.14-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Texas2.50+0.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.87-1.58vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.56-4.88vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.24-4.78vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.14-2.37vs Predicted
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16Clemson University2.34-3.76vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.47-5.13vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.92-11.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.27University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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5.89Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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5.49U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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5.62Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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5.98SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Rhode Island3.140.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.560.1%1st Place
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9.22Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.63Tulane University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.24Clemson University2.340.0%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University2.470.0%1st Place
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6.99Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Mace | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 10.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 11.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Furnary | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Murray | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Baittinger | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Scott Proctor | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Whitman | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Verney | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Raff | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 16.6% | 27.8% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Cabiness | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Shockey | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.